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18 Oct · 16:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1319
3-1Final setsLukaszewski won
AMAdrian Myszewski
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1390
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Myszewski at 61%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adrian Myszewski favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 73.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Adrian Myszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adrian Myszewski −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Adrian Myszewski.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 42% → final 87%
Adrian Myszewski ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 21%70 points · 4 games