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18 Oct · 19:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AMAdrian Myszewski
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1402
3-2Final setsMyszewski won
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1320
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Myszewski at 59%. The actual result was Adrian Myszewski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adrian Myszewski favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 74.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adrian Myszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adrian Myszewski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adrian Myszewski is favoured to win, below means Karol Sulkowski.

▲ Adrian Myszewskipre 56% → final 41%
Karol Sulkowski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsSulkowski recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games