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DeuceLab
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18 Oct · 22:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KAKacper Adamus
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1517
2-3Final setsMarud won
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1498
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 53%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kacper Adamus favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kacper Adamus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kacper Adamus −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kacper Adamus is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Marud.

▲ Kacper Adamuspre 50% → final 3%
Grzegorz Marud ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsMarud recovered from 39%72 points · 5 games