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18 Oct · 23:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1498
3-2Final setsMarud won
JNJakub Nowak
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1408
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 57%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.27
Favourite won
Total 73.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 61% → final 6%
Jakub Nowak ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsNowak recovered from 26%67 points · 3 games