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19 Oct · 00:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1524
3-0Final setsMarud won
KAKacper Adamus
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1508
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 51%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kacper Adamus favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
53 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kacper Adamus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kacper Adamus −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
7.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Kacper Adamus.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 53% → final 100%
Kacper Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsMarud recovered from 36%51 points · 3 games