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19 Oct · 03:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1515
3-0Final setsMarud won
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1508
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 51%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 73.5
54 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Lukasz Oracz.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 53% → final 98%
Lukasz Oracz ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts53 points · 3 games