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19 Oct · 04:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1663
3-2Final setsPoliniewicz won
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1555
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 61%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Rutkowski.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 65% → final 79%
Mateusz Rutkowski ▼
Biggest swing 53 pts72 points · 5 games