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19 Oct · 05:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1557
3-2Final setsRutkowski won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1566
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rutkowski at 50%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Mateusz Rutkowski — profile →Karol Wisniewski — profile →Head-to-head →
How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Karol Wisniewski favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 74.5
107 points played
Over
Set handicap
Karol Wisniewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Karol Wisniewski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 46% → final 77%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsRutkowski recovered from 13%72 points · 5 games