19 Oct · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1378
FormWWLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Polok
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1530
FormWLLLL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Polok
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)