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19 Oct · 07:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TKTomasz Kordaszewski
🇵🇱Tomasz Kordaszewski
ELO 1187
0-3Final setsMichalik won
JMJerzy Michalik
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1507
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Michalik at 80%. The actual result was Jerzy Michalik 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jerzy Michalik favoured — closing 1.14
Favourite won
Total 67.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jerzy Michalik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jerzy Michalik −10.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomasz Kordaszewski is favoured to win, below means Jerzy Michalik.

▲ Tomasz Kordaszewskipre 16% → final 1%
Jerzy Michalik ▼
Biggest swing 16 pts54 points · 3 games