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19 Oct · 06:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1660
3-2Final setsPoliniewicz won
DSDominik Solilo
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1544
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 60%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 73.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Poliniewicz −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Dominik Solilo.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 57% → final 99%
Dominik Solilo ▼
Biggest swing 43 pts72 points · 5 games