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19 Oct · 08:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1612
0-3Final setsWisniewski won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1568
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kosmal at 53%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Kosmal favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 73.5
63 points played
Under
Set handicap
Dawid Kosmal −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dawid Kosmal −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kosmal is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Dawid Kosmalpre 50% → final 5%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsWisniewski recovered from 32%62 points · 3 games