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19 Oct · 08:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WSWitold Stechly
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1243
3-1Final setsStechly won
JMJerzy Michalik
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1495
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Michalik at 72%. The actual result was Witold Stechly 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jerzy Michalik favoured — closing 1.15
Upset
Total 72.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jerzy Michalik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jerzy Michalik −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
16.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Witold Stechly is favoured to win, below means Jerzy Michalik.

▲ Witold Stechlypre 23% → final 83%
Jerzy Michalik ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsStechly recovered from 17%72 points · 4 games