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19 Oct · 09:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1578
3-1Final setsRutkowski won
MKMilosz Kukawka
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1561
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kukawka at 50%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kukawka favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kukawka −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Kukawka −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Milosz Kukawka.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 54% → final 100%
Milosz Kukawka ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsRutkowski recovered from 35%72 points · 4 games