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19 Oct · 10:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1620
3-2Final setsKosmal won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1662
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 56%. The actual result was Dawid Kosmal 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.42
Upset
Total 73.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Poliniewicz −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kosmal is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Dawid Kosmalpre 40% → final 95%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsKosmal recovered from 36%64 points · 4 games