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19 Oct · 11:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WTWojciech Tobiasz
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1388
3-1Final setsTobiasz won
PPPawel Polok
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1496
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Polok at 64%. The actual result was Wojciech Tobiasz 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Polok favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 74.5
65 points played
Under
Set handicap
Polok −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Polok −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wojciech Tobiasz is favoured to win, below means Pawel Polok.

▲ Wojciech Tobiaszpre 31% → final 99%
Pawel Polok ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsTobiasz recovered from 31%69 points · 4 games