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19 Oct · 11:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1614
3-1Final setsKosmal won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1639
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Czerwinski at 52%. The actual result was Dawid Kosmal 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kosmal favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kosmal −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Kosmal −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kosmal is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Dawid Kosmalpre 44% → final 99%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsKosmal recovered from 43%67 points · 4 games