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19 Oct · 12:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1692
3-0Final setsKapik won
KSKonrad Staszczyk
🇵🇱Konrad Staszczyk
ELO 1748
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staszczyk at 59%. The actual result was Krzysztof Kapik 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Konrad Staszczyk favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 73.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Konrad Staszczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Konrad Staszczyk −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
9.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Konrad Staszczyk.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 44% → final 94%
Konrad Staszczyk ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsKapik recovered from 44%55 points · 3 games