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19 Oct · 14:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1626
3-0Final setsKosmal won
KSKonrad Staszczyk
🇵🇱Konrad Staszczyk
ELO 1736
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staszczyk at 64%. The actual result was Dawid Kosmal 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Konrad Staszczyk favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 73.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Konrad Staszczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Konrad Staszczyk −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
12
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kosmal is favoured to win, below means Konrad Staszczyk.

▲ Dawid Kosmalpre 31% → final 100%
Konrad Staszczyk ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsKosmal recovered from 28%54 points · 3 games