19 Oct · 18:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1492
FormLLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Wichowski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1666
FormWWWWW
32%
68%
🌟Fomin stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+174
H2H49-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-28)