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19 Oct · 17:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1326
3-1Final setsLukaszewski won
JPJacek Przewlocki
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1316
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lukaszewski at 53%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Przewlocki favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jacek Przewlocki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Przewlocki −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Jacek Przewlocki.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 50% → final 93%
Jacek Przewlocki ▼
Biggest swing 47 pts72 points · 4 games