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19 Oct · 18:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MWMiroslaw Warzecha
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1694
3-2Final setsWarzecha won
PGPiotr Gesiarz
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1523
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Warzecha at 67%. The actual result was Miroslaw Warzecha 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslaw Warzecha favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 72.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Miroslaw Warzecha −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Miroslaw Warzecha −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Warzecha is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gesiarz.

▲ Miroslaw Warzechapre 72% → final 99%
Piotr Gesiarz ▼
Biggest swing 39 pts72 points · 5 games