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20 Oct · 04:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1596
3-0Final setsLebek won
ARAdam Ruszkiewicz
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1522
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 69%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 72.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
3.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Adam Ruszkiewicz.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 74% → final 99%
Adam Ruszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts57 points · 3 games