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19 Oct · 19:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1516
3-1Final setsMarud won
JNJakub Nowak
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1440
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 61%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 65% → final 92%
Jakub Nowak ▼
Biggest swing 29 pts71 points · 4 games