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19 Oct · 18:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1472
1-3Final setsVincenec won
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1496
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vincenec at 50%. The actual result was Oliver Vincenec 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Oracz favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 73.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lukasz Oracz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukasz Oracz −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Oracz is favoured to win, below means Oliver Vincenec.

▲ Lukasz Oraczpre 46% → final 2%
Oliver Vincenec ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts72 points · 4 games