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19 Oct · 18:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DMDariusz Maszczynski
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1247
1-3Final setsStaniczek won
ASAdam Staniczek
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1400
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniczek at 72%. The actual result was Adam Staniczek 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adam Staniczek favoured — closing 1.3
Favourite won
Total 71.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adam Staniczek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Adam Staniczek −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dariusz Maszczynski is favoured to win, below means Adam Staniczek.

▲ Dariusz Maszczynskipre 29% → final 6%
Adam Staniczek ▼
Biggest swing 36 pts72 points · 4 games