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19 Oct · 18:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AZArtur Zmijewski
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1608
1-3Final setsGesiarz won
PGPiotr Gesiarz
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1523
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zmijewski at 60%. The actual result was Piotr Gesiarz 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Zmijewski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 73.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Artur Zmijewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Zmijewski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Zmijewski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gesiarz.

▲ Artur Zmijewskipre 64% → final 3%
Piotr Gesiarz ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsGesiarz recovered from 25%69 points · 4 games