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19 Oct · 20:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1331
3-0Final setsLukaszewski won
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1326
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lukaszewski at 52%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Szoltysek favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Artur Szoltysek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Szoltysek −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Artur Szoltysek.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 49% → final 98%
Artur Szoltysek ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts57 points · 3 games