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19 Oct · 20:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PGPiotr Gesiarz
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1523
3-1Final setsGesiarz won
AKArtur Kubiak
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1510
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kubiak at 63%. The actual result was Piotr Gesiarz 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Kubiak favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 75.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Artur Kubiak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Kubiak −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Gesiarz is favoured to win, below means Artur Kubiak.

▲ Piotr Gesiarzpre 39% → final 97%
Artur Kubiak ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsGesiarz recovered from 17%72 points · 4 games