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19 Oct · 22:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1472
3-2Final setsVincenec won
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1487
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 52%. The actual result was Oliver Vincenec 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 74.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Oliver Vincenec is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Marud.

▲ Oliver Vincenecpre 44% → final 49%
Grzegorz Marud ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsMarud recovered from 28%72 points · 5 games