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19 Oct · 22:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1326
1-3Final setsPrzewlocki won
JPJacek Przewlocki
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1316
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lukaszewski at 55%. The actual result was Jacek Przewlocki 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Przewlocki favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jacek Przewlocki −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jacek Przewlocki −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Jacek Przewlocki.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 52% → final 93%
Jacek Przewlocki ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts72 points · 4 games