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19 Oct · 22:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MWMiroslaw Warzecha
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1688
3-1Final setsWarzecha won
AKArtur Kubiak
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1510
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Warzecha at 65%. The actual result was Miroslaw Warzecha 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslaw Warzecha favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 73.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Miroslaw Warzecha −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Miroslaw Warzecha −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Warzecha is favoured to win, below means Artur Kubiak.

▲ Miroslaw Warzechapre 70% → final 14%
Artur Kubiak ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsKubiak recovered from 27%71 points · 4 games