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20 Oct · 00:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1348
2-3Final setsPrzewlocki won
JPJacek Przewlocki
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1316
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 51%. The actual result was Jacek Przewlocki 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Jacek Przewlocki.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 47% → final 5%
Jacek Przewlocki ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsPrzewlocki recovered from 29%72 points · 5 games