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20 Oct · 00:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1483
1-3Final setsVincenec won
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1487
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vincenec at 50%. The actual result was Oliver Vincenec 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Oliver Vincenec.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 46% → final 5%
Oliver Vincenec ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts72 points · 4 games