20 Oct · 04:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1485
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1525
FormLLLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Oracz🌟Oracz covers set handicap as underdog 67% (55)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H12-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+40)