20 Oct · 04:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AZ
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1614
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1688
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)