20 Oct · 07:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1597
FormWLWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Lebek
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1443
FormWWWWL
66%
34%
🌟Sokolowski covers set handicap as underdog 64% (149)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+154
H2H12-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-10)