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20 Oct · 05:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1631
3-1Final setsKosmal won
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1681
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kapik at 58%. The actual result was Dawid Kosmal 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Kapik favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 74.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kosmal is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Kapik.

▲ Dawid Kosmalpre 45% → final 88%
Krzysztof Kapik ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsKosmal recovered from 37%67 points · 4 games