20 Oct · 09:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1631
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Czerwinski
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1591
FormLWLLW
54%
46%
🌟Czerwinski goes over total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Czerwinski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H15-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.