20 Oct · 11:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1558
FormLWWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Sobel
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Krawczyk
ELO 1402
FormWLLLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+156
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+156)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)