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20 Oct · 09:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MBMariusz Baron
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1450
3-0Final setsBaron won
SJSebastian Juzek
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1427
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 53%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
60 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Baron −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Juzek.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 57% → final 96%
Sebastian Juzek ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsBaron recovered from 40%59 points · 3 games