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20 Oct · 10:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JLJakub Lamperski
🇵🇱Jakub Lamperski
ELO 1525
3-1Final setsLamperski won
ASArtur Sobel
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1555
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sobel at 54%. The actual result was Jakub Lamperski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Sobel favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 74.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Artur Sobel −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Sobel −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Lamperski is favoured to win, below means Artur Sobel.

▲ Jakub Lamperskipre 42% → final 100%
Artur Sobel ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsLamperski recovered from 27%72 points · 5 games