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20 Oct · 10:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KSKamil Smolka
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1518
3-2Final setsSmolka won
KKKamil Kowalski
🇵🇱Kamil Kowalski
ELO 1233
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smolka at 78%. The actual result was Kamil Smolka 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kamil Smolka favoured — closing 1.27
Favourite won
Total 72.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kamil Smolka −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kamil Smolka −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kamil Smolka is favoured to win, below means Kamil Kowalski.

▲ Kamil Smolkapre 77% → final 89%
Kamil Kowalski ▼
Biggest swing 32 pts72 points · 5 games