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20 Oct · 10:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1672
3-1Final setsKolek won
KWKrzysztof Wloczko
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1752
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wloczko at 61%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Wloczko favoured — closing 1.32
Upset
Total 73.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Krzysztof Wloczko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Wloczko −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Kolek is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Wloczko.

▲ Maciej Kolekpre 42% → final 99%
Krzysztof Wloczko ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsKolek recovered from 30%71 points · 4 games