20 Oct · 13:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1628
FormLWLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Wloczko
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1752
FormLWLWL
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kosmal🌟Kosmal covers set handicap as underdog 63% (38)
Fair odds · Wloczko
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 70% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+124
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)