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20 Oct · 10:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1603
3-1Final setsRutkowski won
TFTomasz Filbrandt
🇵🇱Tomasz Filbrandt
ELO 1645
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Filbrandt at 56%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tomasz Filbrandt favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Tomasz Filbrandt −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tomasz Filbrandt −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Filbrandt.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 40% → final 88%
Tomasz Filbrandt ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsRutkowski recovered from 21%72 points · 4 games