Kamil Smolka vs Mariusz Baron — TT Elite Series

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20 Oct · 12:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Kamil Smolka

ELO 1515

0-3Final setsBaron won

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1459

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smolka at 58%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 0-3 — the underdog won.

Kamil Smolka — profile →Mariusz Baron — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.8

Favourite won

Total 75.5

60 points played

Under

Set handicap

Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Mariusz Baron −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kamil Smolka is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Kamil Smolkapre 55% → final 99%

Mariusz Baron ▼

Biggest swing 64 ptsSmolka recovered from 35%72 points · 5 games