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20 Oct · 12:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ASArtur Sobel
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1574
3-0Final setsSobel won
MKMilosz Kukawka
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1555
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kukawka at 51%. The actual result was Artur Sobel 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Milosz Kukawka favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
50 points played
Under
Set handicap
Milosz Kukawka −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Milosz Kukawka −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
7.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Sobel is favoured to win, below means Milosz Kukawka.

▲ Artur Sobelpre 45% → final 98%
Milosz Kukawka ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsSobel recovered from 35%49 points · 3 games