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DeuceLab
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20 Oct · 13:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1617
3-1Final setsKosmal won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1669
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 57%. The actual result was Dawid Kosmal 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Kolek favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 75.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maciej Kolek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maciej Kolek −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kosmal is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Dawid Kosmalpre 46% → final 2%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsKolek recovered from 32%72 points · 4 games