20 Oct · 16:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1628
FormWWWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Wloczko
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1749
FormLWLWL
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rutkowski🌟Rutkowski covers set handicap as underdog 68% (176)
Fair odds · Wloczko
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+121
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)